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RUN TO THE
BANK--FAST!
An infamous
image from the Great Depression shows people lined up in
front of a bank building. They are there to withdraw their
life savings. What is taking place is called a "bank run," equally
dreaded by depositors and bankers alike. Similar scenes have
revisited the United States in recent weeks and months. Bank
runs occur because people know that banks never
have enough cash on hand to return all
of their depositors' funds if they all show up at once.
During the Great Depression some people literally run to the
bank in order to get their money before their bank ran out of
cash and shut its doors on the slower folks
who walked. The victim bank is then
bankrupt. Bank runs today move at a faster pace than
during the 1930s because folks can withdraw their funds
by means of ATMs and other electronic
transfers.
No bank in America, except the
Fed (Note: there are 12 regional Federal Reserve banks in the
Federal Reserve System. I refer here to the System and the banks as
one entity--the Fed ), can weather a run on its own
because all other banks operate under the Fed's "fractional-reserve"
system. What that means is that banks are keep a small fraction of
their depositors' funds on hand (viz., in reserve) at any time. The
rest of their depositors' funds--and many times more--are lent out
on terms that do not require repayment until sometime in the
future.
The fractional-reserve system
is basically dishonest. The banks accept
their depositors' funds for safekeeping knowing full well
the depositors cannot be repaid if too many of them want
their money back all at once.
A run starts when a
bank's depositors question the bank's financial
condition. It can be set off by real bad news or merely a
rumor. Depositors' concerns quickly become self
fulfilling when they flock to withdraw. That is esssentially
what drove the staid, old--founded in 1850--investment
bank, Lehman Brothers, out of business recently, and
Washington Mutual and Indy Mac Bank a little earlier this
year. No bank in America has sufficient funds in reserve to
withstand a run, which is why economist Murray Rothbard in
his ground-breaking analysis of the Great Depression
could say "all banks are inherently bankrupt." (See,
America's Great Depression, http://mises.org/rothbard/agd.pdf)
The reason the Fed can't be
driven out of business by a bank run is because it can print as
much money as it needs to meet all of its depositors'
withdrawals. Its depositors are other banks. With unlimited
printing-press money available to it, the Fed undoubtedly
would also use it to save at least some other banks hit by
runs. However, the printing-press money the Fed relies
on could itself become worthless. The only thing that
gives the dollar value is people's faith in the federal
government's ability to protect the dollar's value as a
medium of exchange. Since American dollar has lost over 96% of its
value since the Fed was created, faith is beginning to
wane.
This worst-case
scenario of a nation's currency becoming worthless is happening
in Zimbabwe right now. Back when Zimbabwe was Rhodesia it was the
richest nation in Africa and a net exporter of agricultural
products. Its present rate of inflation, 230,000,000 percent
annually (!), is so great that a Zimbabwe dollar worth a
hundred pennies today will be worth only a teeny, tiny
fraction of a cent by tomorrow. In other words, because its
central bank printed Zimbabwe dollars with reckless abandon to
meet the government's debts and other obligations,
its currency is worthless. Most Zimbabwe citizens,
although not the political class, are starving. Very much the same
thing happened in one of Europe's most economically sophisticated
nations, Germany, in 1923. The same dire fate could
befall America because the American dollar, which was once "as
good as gold" (because it was backed by gold), is utterly dependent
on faith.
Faith in government,
both here and abroad, has severely eroded as
the incapacity of its institutions to cope with the
current financial-economic crisis becomes ever more
apparent. The only weapon the United States has to battle
severe depression is its faith-based printing-press
money.
What, one might ask, is
commentary on bank runs, the Fed, currency and economics doing on a
JesusOnTaxes website? The common thread is the word
faith. Our placement or withdrawal of faith has
consequences. Faith in your bank, faith in the Fed, faith in
the dollar, faith God. Faith in the wisdom and teaching of
Jesus will save us, I think, from the consequences of misplaced
faith. |